Monday, October 4, 2010

Will Democrats Retain Control of the Congress?

Now that many electoral contests have stabilized and become more competitive, many political pundits are more skeptical of massive Republican gains in Congress. This article addresses the fact that many elections that previously favored one candidate are now in a deadheat. This is partly a result of increased Democratic spending on close campaigns around the country and what I believe is a shift in focus from the unpopularity of the Obama administration towards more local and candidate-centric issues in many tight elections. Incumbents have a much greater chance of being re-elected, partly as a result of name recognition and greater sums of money to spend on campaigning. This incumbent advantage might lead to a greater likelihood that Democrats will be able to retain more seats in Congress thus securing their majority in Congress for at least another two years.

No comments: