Dino Rossi holds key to Senate takeover hopes

While the Washington Senate race is still competitive, the possibility that he would end up being the hinge for a Republican takeover of the Senate still seems like a longshot. The article says that the Republicans would need to win in Illinois, West Virginia, Colorado and Nevada. If these are basically fifty-fifty scenarios in all four of those races that means that there is a 1/16 chance of a Republican winning in all of those races. It should also be mentioned that Governor Manchin and Alexi Gianoullias have polled ever so slightly ahead of their opponents. Even if the Republicans do manage to win all four of these seat and knock off Russ Feingold (who I personally believe many are underestimating at this point) and Joe Sestak (who still has a chance to beat Patrick Toomey) Patti Murray is still polling way ahead of Dino Rossi leading me to believe a Senate takeover for Republicans most likely won't happen.