Sunday, October 3, 2010
Midterm Outlook: Purely Partisan
Should Republicans expect MASSIVE gains in the house + Senate? This article describes some of the arguments for small gains and likely a majority in the house for republicans, but not for huge gains for the Republican Party. One prediction was that republicans would just win back historically republican seats that were taken in 06.
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At the end of the article it mentions that Thomas Friedman of the New York Times believes a third party candidate will have a major impact on the 2012 presidential election. I think that this statement is a very realistic possibility. Bush had low approval ratings at the end of his final term, and Obama has low approval ratings right now. While Obama may be able to increase voter support for his political agenda by 2012, it is very possible that he will finish out his term with low approval ratings. If this is the case, a third party candidate may impact the 2012 elections in a big way. He/She could argue that the republicans and democrats have failed (based on the performances of the past two presidents), and run on a platform independent of republican and democratic party ideals. A third party candidate may not win, but would definitely affect the vote enough to cause sort of controversy in 2012.
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